Winter Olympic Predictions: Freeski Slopestyle Men & Women
Published on February 5, 2026
Qualification begins on February 7 in Livigno. Women race for medals on February 9, men on February 10. The schedule aligns with the official Olympic program for Freestyle Skiing. Recent World Cup form informs the projections: Eileen Gu won Laax in January, Birk Ruud repeated his Laax title, and Aspen delivered podiums for Henry Sildaru and Mac Forehand while Luca Harrington placed inside the top ten. These indicators support Wyldata’s model positions.
The men’s model leans toward riders combining high rail difficulty with switch both-way 1620–1980 jump ranges. Harrington’s rail cleanliness and execution rate narrow his variance relative to pure jump specialists. Alex Hall’s historical Olympic pedigree and finals make-rate keep him within striking distance. Henry Sildaru’s January podium lifts his projection into the top three.
On the women’s side, Gremaud’s season-opening win and stable rails keep her marginally ahead in expected score. Per request, Eileen Gu is slotted second based on recent Laax victory and rising make-rate after a slower Stubai opener. Depth from Lara Wolf and Anni Karava keeps the podium race compressed.
Full projected ranking — Men
- Luca Harrington, New Zealand
- Alex Hall, United States
- Henry Sildaru, Estonia
- Matej Svancer, Austria
- Andri Ragettli, Switzerland
- Sebastian Schjerve, Norway
- Birk Ruud, Norway
- Ben Barclay, New Zealand
- Nils Rhyner, Switzerland
- Troy Podmilsak, United States
- Kuura Koivisto, Finland
- Konnor Ralph, Canada
- Timothe Sivignon, France
- Evan McEachran, Canada
- Miro Tabanelli, Italy
- Julius Forer, Austria
- Chris McCormick, United Kingdom
- Fabian Bösch, Switzerland
- Matias Roche, France
- Tormod Frostad, Norway
- Ulrik Samnöy, Norway
- Henrik Harlaut, Sweden
- Kim Gubser, Switzerland
- Martin Nordqvist, Sweden
- Mac Forehand, United States
- Lucas Ball, Canada
- Jesper Tjäder, Sweden
- Elias Syrjä, Finland
- Dylan Deschamps, Canada
Full projected ranking — Women
- Mathilde Gremaud, Switzerland
- Eileen Gu, China
- Lara Wolf, Austria
- Anni Karava, Finland
- Marin Hamill, United States
- Rell Harwood, United States
- Megan Oldham, Canada
- Kirsty Muir, United Kingdom
- Flora Tabanelli, Italy
- Ruyi Yang, China
- Sarah Höfflin, Switzerland
- Olivia Asselin, Canada
- Kokone Kondo, Japan
- Ruby Star Andrews, New Zealand
- Tess Ledeux, France
- Grace Henderson, United States
- Mengting Liu, China
- Abi Harrigan, Australia
- Sandra Eie, Norway
- Linshan Han, China
- Muriel Mohr, Germany
- Naomi Urness, Canada
- Kim Dumont Zanella, France
- Anouk Andraska, Switzerland
- Kateryna Kotsar, Ukraine
- Giulia Tanno, Switzerland
- Elena Gaskell, Canada
- Yuna Koga, Japan
- Sylvia Trotter, New Zealand
- Daisy Thomas, Australia
The medal picture in both fields remains sensitive to wind and speed management on the Livigno rail sets. Expect tight clustering from second through eighth; a single missed rail feature or low-amp final hit typically swings two to five positions at recent scoring splits.
Results, rankings, stats & predictions provided by: https://wyldata.com
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Article Sources: https://www.olympics.com/en/milano-cortina-2026/schedule/frs, https://www.reuters.com/graphics/OLYMPICS-2026/lbvgmanrrvq/schedule/, https://www.fis-ski.com/DB/general/results.html?raceid=18518§orcode=FS, https://www.fis-ski.com/freeski-park-and-pipe/news/2025-26/gu-secures-second-laax-slopestyle-world-cup-victory-as-ruud-makes-it-a-three-peat, https://laaxopen.com/en/freeski-slopestyle-eileen-gu-and-birk-ruud-are-the-laax-open-champions-2026-2/, https://www.stubai.at/en/press/press-releases/olympiasiegerin-gremaud-gewinnt-weltcup-auftakt-nach-qualifikation/
Image Source: fisparkandpipe
