Winter Olympic Predictions: Freeski Big Air Men & Women

Winter Olympic Predictions: Freeski Big Air Men & Women

Published Feb 13, 2026

The women’s field skews toward riders with reliable left–right variation and stomp rates on forward and switch takeoffs. Anni Karava projects highest due to clean axis control on triples. We upgrade Eileen Gu to second on amplitude and landing percentage despite limited recent big-air reps. Mathilde Gremaud fits for third with the deepest trick book but a slightly lower first-attempt make rate. Kirsty Muir rises to fourth on improved right-side triples. Rell Harwood slides to fifth but remains a podium threat if winds stay low.

The men’s event centers on who links two clean 19s or a 21 with opposing spin direction. Birk Ruud retains favorite status on execution and amplitude. Luca Harrington trends up on right-side 19 reliability. Andri Ragettli profiles for third with elite difficulty but slightly higher variance on takeoff drift. Depth from Matej Svancer and Kim Gubser keeps Switzerland and Austria in the medal mix, while wind or speed changes could elevate Mac Forehand and Alex Hall.

Women — Freeski Big Air (predicted order)

  1. Anni Karava — Finland
  2. Eileen Gu — China
  3. Mathilde Gremaud — Switzerland
  4. Kirsty Muir — United Kingdom
  5. Rell Harwood — United States
  6. Flora Tabanelli — Italy
  7. Mengting Liu — China
  8. Anouk Andraska — Switzerland
  9. Lara Wolf — Austria
  10. Sandra Eie — Norway
  11. Marin Hamill — United States
  12. Ruyi Yang — China
  13. Kateryna Kotsar — Ukraine
  14. Sarah Hoefflin — Switzerland
  15. Megan Oldham — Canada
  16. Muriel Mohr — Germany
  17. Giulia Tanno — Switzerland
  18. Linshan Han — China
  19. Grace Henderson — United States
  20. Naomi Urness — Canada
  21. Kim Dumont Zanella — France
  22. Kokone Kondo — Japan
  23. Olivia Asselin — Canada
  24. Daisy Thomas — Australia
  25. Yuna Koga — Japan
  26. Ruby Star Andrews — New Zealand
  27. Elena Gaskell — Canada
  28. Sylvia Trotter — New Zealand

Men — Freeski Big Air (predicted order)

  1. Birk Ruud — Norway
  2. Luca Harrington — New Zealand
  3. Andri Ragettli — Switzerland
  4. Matej Svancer — Austria
  5. Kim Gubser — Switzerland
  6. Mac Forehand — United States
  7. Tormod Frostad — Norway
  8. Fabian Boesch — Switzerland
  9. Timothe Sivignon — France
  10. Alex Hall — United States
  11. Sebastian Schjerve — Norway
  12. Ulrik Samnoey — Norway
  13. Troy Podmilsak — United States
  14. Elias Syrja — Finland
  15. Konnor Ralph — Canada
  16. Julius Forer — Austria
  17. Ben Barclay — New Zealand
  18. Nils Rhyner — Switzerland
  19. Chris McCormick — United Kingdom
  20. Miro Tabanelli — Italy
  21. Evan McEachran — Canada
  22. Matias Roche — France
  23. Dylan Deschamps — Canada
  24. Kuura Koivisto — Finland
  25. Henry Sildaru — Estonia
  26. Jesper Tjader — Sweden
  27. Martin Nordqvist — Sweden
  28. Henrik Harlaut — Sweden
  29. Lucas Ball — Canada

Methodology note
Ordering reflects projected two-jump totals from difficulty, execution, and landing-rate models, incorporating opposing-direction coverage and recent qualifier form. Weather, speed, and start-order volatility remain key swing factors.

 

Results, rankings, stats & predictions provided by: https://wyldata.com

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Article Sources: https://www.fis-ski.com/DB/freestyle-freeski, https://www.redbull.com/int-en/freeski, https://www.teamusa.org/news, https://www.swiss-ski.ch/en/freeski

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