Winter Olympic Predictions: Freeski Big Air Men & Women

The women’s field skews toward riders with reliable left–right variation and stomp rates on forward and switch takeoffs. Anni Karava projects highest due to clean axis control on triples. We upgrade Eileen Gu to second on amplitude and landing percentage despite limited recent big-air reps. Mathilde Gremaud fits for third with the deepest trick book but a slightly lower first-attempt make rate. Kirsty Muir rises to fourth on improved right-side triples. Rell Harwood slides to fifth but remains a podium threat if winds stay low.

The men’s event centers on who links two clean 19s or a 21 with opposing spin direction. Birk Ruud retains favorite status on execution and amplitude. Luca Harrington trends up on right-side 19 reliability. Andri Ragettli profiles for third with elite difficulty but slightly higher variance on takeoff drift. Depth from Matej Svancer and Kim Gubser keeps Switzerland and Austria in the medal mix, while wind or speed changes could elevate Mac Forehand and Alex Hall.

Women — Freeski Big Air (predicted order)

1. Anni Karava — Finland
2. Eileen Gu — China
3. Mathilde Gremaud — Switzerland
4. Kirsty Muir — United Kingdom
5. Rell Harwood — United States
6. Flora Tabanelli — Italy
7. Mengting Liu — China
8. Anouk Andraska — Switzerland
9. Lara Wolf — Austria
10. Sandra Eie — Norway
11. Marin Hamill — United States
12. Ruyi Yang — China
13. Kateryna Kotsar — Ukraine
14. Sarah Hoefflin — Switzerland
15. Megan Oldham — Canada
16. Muriel Mohr — Germany
17. Giulia Tanno — Switzerland
18. Linshan Han — China
19. Grace Henderson — United States
20. Naomi Urness — Canada
21. Kim Dumont Zanella — France
22. Kokone Kondo — Japan
23. Olivia Asselin — Canada
24. Daisy Thomas — Australia
25. Yuna Koga — Japan
26. Ruby Star Andrews — New Zealand
27. Elena Gaskell — Canada
28. Sylvia Trotter — New Zealand

Men — Freeski Big Air (predicted order)

1. Birk Ruud — Norway
2. Luca Harrington — New Zealand
3. Andri Ragettli — Switzerland
4. Matej Svancer — Austria
5. Kim Gubser — Switzerland
6. Mac Forehand — United States
7. Tormod Frostad — Norway
8. Fabian Boesch — Switzerland
9. Timothe Sivignon — France
10. Alex Hall — United States
11. Sebastian Schjerve — Norway
12. Ulrik Samnoey — Norway
13. Troy Podmilsak — United States
14. Elias Syrja — Finland
15. Konnor Ralph — Canada
16. Julius Forer — Austria
17. Ben Barclay — New Zealand
18. Nils Rhyner — Switzerland
19. Chris McCormick — United Kingdom
20. Miro Tabanelli — Italy
21. Evan McEachran — Canada
22. Matias Roche — France
23. Dylan Deschamps — Canada
24. Kuura Koivisto — Finland
25. Henry Sildaru — Estonia
26. Jesper Tjader — Sweden
27. Martin Nordqvist — Sweden
28. Henrik Harlaut — Sweden
29. Lucas Ball — Canada

Methodology note
Ordering reflects projected two-jump totals from difficulty, execution, and landing-rate models, incorporating opposing-direction coverage and recent qualifier form. Weather, speed, and start-order volatility remain key swing factors.

Results, rankings, stats & predictions provided by: https://wyldata.com

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Article Sources: https://www.fis-ski.com/DB/freestyle-freeski, https://www.redbull.com/int-en/freeski, https://www.teamusa.org/news, https://www.swiss-ski.ch/en/freeski

Image Source: fisparkandpipe