Published on February 17, 2026

On the men’s side, Alex Ferreira projects as the most reliable top-end scorer in this field because his competitive profile is built on complete runs and repeatability, which typically separates medalists from finalists at Olympic pressure events. Birk Irving and Hunter Hess give the United States three athletes with realistic podium outcomes, making the main question whether the final becomes a consistency contest or a progression contest. Brendan Mackay is the clearest counterweight to the US block, with the tools to win if he matches the top amplitude while landing the cleaner of two finals runs. The next group, led by Finley Melville Ives and Nick Goepper, has podium pathways that open quickly if one of the favorites posts a compromised landing.
The women’s field is more volatile because the top tier is both deep and stylistically varied. Zoe Atkin projects as the safest medal profile in the startlist due to her ability to translate qualification skiing into finals-level completion. Eileen Gu remains the highest-ceiling athlete, but the margin for error narrows when several athletes are capable of landing full runs under pressure. Fanghui Li is the swing factor who can raise the scoring ceiling and force others to chase. Behind them, Cassie Sharpe and Rachael Karker form the most credible podium pressure from Canada, while Svea Irving sits in the group most likely to convert a clean two-run final into a medal if the top tier leaves points on the table.
Men predictions (full order)
1 Alex Ferreira (USA)
2 Birk Irving (USA)
3 Hunter Hess (USA)
4 Brendan Mackay (CAN)
5 Finley Melville Ives (NZL)
6 Nick Goepper (USA)
7 Dylan Marineau (CAN)
8 Luke Harrold (NZL)
9 Andrew Longino (CAN)
10 Gus Kenworthy (GBR)
11 Toma Matsuura (JPN)
12 Henry Sildaru (EST)
13 Seung Hun Lee (KOR)
14 Ben Harrington (NZL)
15 Robin Briguet (SUI)
16 Samuel Baumgartner (AUT)
17 Liam Richards (GBR)
18 Gustav Legnavsky (NZL)
19 Haipeng Sheng (CHN)
20 Jingbo Sun (CHN)
21 Shuaibing Su (CHN)
22 Ben Lynch (USA)
Women predictions (full order)
1 Zoe Atkin (GBR)
2 Fanghui Li (CHN)
3 Eileen Gu (CHN)
4 Svea Irving (USA)
5 Kathryn Gray (USA)
6 Cassie Sharpe (CAN)
7 Sabrina Cakmakli (GER)
8 Rachael Karker (CAN)
9 Kexin Zhang (CHN)
10 Amy Fraser (CAN)
11 Dillan Glennie (CAN)
12 Nanaho Kiriyama (JPN)
13 Indra Brown (AUS)
14 Riley Jacobs (USA)
15 Abby Winterberger (USA)
16 Kelly Sildaru (EST)
17 Daeun Kim (KOR)
18 Yishan Liu (CHN)
19 Mischa Thomas (NZL)
20 Grete-mia Meentalo (EST)
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